Working & failing — 30-day signal R.
Truth-qualified closed-signal contribution over the trailing 30 days.
Net P&L (R)+8.6R+12.4 working · −3.8 failing
Win rate62%28 closed positions
Median R+0.9winners +1.6 / losers −0.6
Invalidators hit4→ saved est. −2.4R
30-day equity curve
All EMISPY equiv.Plain English: EMI's positions are running ahead of SPY-equivalent over the trailing 30 sessions. The bulk of the gap opened from session 16 onward as capex-confirm and power-infra stacked. The two visible drawdowns coincide with reg-bank-short attempts that were stopped early.
check_circleWorking
Top truth-qualified closed-signal contributors and the setup lane behind each.
TickerThesisClusterRHoldWinStatus
NVDA
Capex re-rate confirm.3 hyperscalers re-guided.
capex-confirm+3.4R8dYesRunningVRT
Power-infra cluster.Data-center thermal demand.
power-infra+2.8R11dYesRunningCRWD
Cyber-platform consolidation.Multiple still works.
cyber-platform+2.1R6dYesClosedAVGO
Merchant-silicon read.Earlier-cycle to capex.
capex-confirm+1.9R6dYesRunningMPC
Crack-spread MR.Refinery turnaround setup.
crack-spread-MR+1.8R4dYesClosedPANW
Cyber consolidation second look.Two clusters confirm.
cyber-platform+1.2R9dYesRunningCEG
Nuclear-baseload re-rate.Data-center PPA flow.
power-infra+1.0R7dYesRunningVST
IPP power spillover.Sub-cluster of power.
power-infra+0.4R2dYesRunningremove_circleFailing
Truth-qualified resolved losses, their lane, hold time, and verified exit source.
TickerWhy it failedClusterRHoldKilledStatus
TSLA
Demand cluster decay.3rd attempt invalidated again.
demand-decay−1.2R5dEarlyClosedSHOP
Tiger + LP cut.Invalidator hit on rebound.
smart-money-cut−0.9R5dStopClosedZM
SaaS rerate stalled.Whisper-channel muted.
saas-rerate−0.9R7dWindowClosedZION
Reg-bank short — pre-mortem.Rebound priced too fast.
reg-bank-short−0.4R3dOpenRunningPYPL
Smart-money continued cuts.Cluster strength borderline.
smart-money-cut−0.2R4dWindowClosedRF
Reg-bank short prior attempt.Stopped above invalidator.
reg-bank-short−0.2R2dStopClosed