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Brain · Scorecard

EMI is up +8.6R over the last 30 days.

28 closed trades. 17 winners averaged +1.6R; 11 losers averaged −0.6R. The expectancy is +0.31R per fire — roughly $310 expected per $1,000 risked. Equity curve, drawdown, and per-strategy attribution below.

30d net R+8.6R$8,600 on $1K risk
Win rate62%17 of 28
Profit factor2.8×$2.80 won / $1 lost
Max drawdown−2.4Rrecovered in 6d
Closed trades28last 30d
Win rate62%17 wins · 11 losses
Avg R+0.31Rexpectancy / fire
Profit factor2.8×gross win / loss
Avg winner+1.60Rheld 8.4d avg
Avg loser−0.60Rheld 4.1d avg
Best day+3.4R5/02 · 3 closes
Worst day−1.7R4/22 · 2 closes
Streak5Wcurrent run

Equity curve & drawdown

Cumulative R — internal tracker, equal-notional, fixed $1K risk per fire.

30d window

Cumulative R

Peak +9.2R on 5/06 · Current +8.6R · Drawdown −0.6R
Peak +9.2R +8.6R
Apr 10Apr 17Apr 24May 1May 7

Drawdown trace

−2.4R

Max drawdown · 4/14 to 4/20 · recovered 4/26
Underwater R

Outcome distribution

Where realized R clusters. Right tail is winners; left tail is losers; the gap matters.

28 closed

R-multiple histogram

Each bar is a closed trade · sorted by realized R

+R (winners) −R (losers)
Wins · 17 · best +4.2RLosses · 11 · worst −1.0R

Hold-time vs return

Each dot is one closed trade · y is realized R · x is days held

WinsLosses

Per-strategy attribution

Where the R came from, lane by lane.

Open lane review →
StrategyClosedWin %Avg RNet RWin / loss balance
Macro trend (long futures)875%+1.10+8.8R+8.8R
Long swing (stocks)967%+0.50+4.5R+4.5R
Short alpha540%−0.20−1.0R−1.0R
Mean reversion (options)450%+0.45+1.8R+1.8R
Capex-confirm (cluster)2100%+1.20+2.4R+2.4R

Closed trades

Every fire that resolved in the window. Search, filter, and click a row to open the casefile.

28 rows · last 30d
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ClosedSymIdeaLaneHeldSideRP&L
Loading truth-qualified closes…

What this scorecard taught EMI

Every closed trade feeds the Brain learning bus. Here's what shifted.

Open Learning →

Macro trend lane is over-performing

+8.8R / 8 fires · 75% win rate

EMI raised macro trend's selector weight. Future small-cap and energy futures setups will fire on slightly weaker confirmation than the previous threshold required.

Short alpha lane is underwater

−1.0R / 5 fires · 40% win rate

Reg-bank shorts now require a second invalidator before firing. Window shortened 9d→7d. Selector pressure auto-suppresses 2 candidates this week.

Capex-confirm cluster validated

+2.4R / 2 fires · 100% win rate

3+ hyperscaler re-guide threshold raised conviction-4 from 7 to 14 sessions. EMI will hold the cluster floor until next quarter's earnings cycle confirms decay or reinforcement.